Balance of Payments and Foreign Exchange

How a country keeps score of its transactions with the rest of the world β€” and what happens when the books don't balance.

πŸ“– Structure of the Balance of Payments

The Balance of Payments (BoP) is a systematic record of a country's economic transactions with the rest of the world over a period, split into two main accounts: the Current Account (trade in goods and services, income, and unilateral transfers/remittances) and the Capital Account (foreign investment, loans, and changes in reserves).

πŸ“‰ Current Account Deficit (CAD)

A Current Account Deficit occurs when a country's imports of goods, services and transfers exceed its exports. India has typically run a CAD, financed by capital account inflows such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI), and external borrowing.

⚠️ The 1991 crisis

By 1991, India's foreign exchange reserves had fallen to barely two weeks of imports, forcing the government to pledge gold reserves and approach the IMF for a loan β€” a pivotal moment that triggered the 1991 economic reforms (liberalisation, privatisation, globalisation).

πŸ’΅ Forex reserves and the RBI

The Reserve Bank of India manages the country's foreign exchange reserves (foreign currency assets, gold, SDRs, and the Reserve Tranche Position with the IMF) and intervenes in the forex market to manage rupee volatility under a broadly market-determined exchange rate regime.

πŸ’‘ Key Facts

  • BoP = Current Account (trade, income, transfers) + Capital Account (investment, loans, reserves).
  • India has typically run a Current Account Deficit (CAD), financed by FDI/FPI inflows.
  • 1991: forex reserves fell to ~2 weeks of imports, triggering the IMF loan and 1991 reforms.
  • RBI manages forex reserves (currency assets, gold, SDRs) and intervenes to manage rupee volatility.

πŸ”– 60-Second Revision

  • BoP = Current Account + Capital Account.
  • CAD = imports of goods/services/transfers > exports; financed via FDI/FPI.
  • 1991 crisis: reserves ~2 weeks of imports β†’ IMF loan β†’ liberalisation reforms.

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